Nineteen Trillion Solution

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The $19 Trillion Solution is an economic reform proposal demonstrating that Australia's existing national wealth — approximately $19 trillion AUD — is sufficient to eliminate all public debt, pre-fund government operations for five years, and provide every citizen with income-producing assets, housing security, and a universal basic income. The proposal challenges the Scarcity Illusion that frames austerity and inequality as inevitable.

File:19-trillion-allocation.png
Visual breakdown of the $19 trillion allocation: debt elimination, government prepayment, and citizen distribution.

The proposal does not depend on future growth, new taxation, or borrowing. It reallocates existing wealth to address the root economic causes of crime, violence, homelessness, and social instability.

Overview

The Core Insight

Australia's total national wealth is approximately $19 trillion AUD. This includes:

  • Real estate
  • Superannuation (pension) assets
  • Business equity
  • Financial assets
  • Infrastructure
  • Natural resources

This wealth is heavily concentrated — the top 10% of households hold more wealth than the bottom 60% combined. The $19 Trillion Solution asks: what if this wealth were distributed differently?

Three-Part Allocation

Allocation Amount Purpose
Debt Eradication ~$787 billion Clear all federal and state public debt
Government Prepayment ~$5.29 trillion Pre-fund all government operations for 5 years
Citizen Distribution ~$12.92 trillion Direct allocation to every Australian

Part 1: Debt Eradication

Current Debt Situation

Australian public debt (federal and state combined) totals approximately $786.8 billion. This debt:

  • Requires ongoing interest payments that consume budget resources
  • Creates political leverage for austerity arguments
  • Constrains policy flexibility
  • Generates intergenerational equity concerns

Immediate Clearance

Allocating $787 billion (approximately 4% of national wealth) would:

  • Eliminate all public debt instantly
  • Free approximately $20 billion annually in interest payments
  • Remove "we can't afford it" arguments from policy debates
  • Stabilize national finances on a clean slate

Part 2: Government Prepayment

Current Government Spending

Australian government spending (federal, state, and local combined) is approximately $1.058 trillion annually. This funds:

  • Healthcare and hospitals
  • Education at all levels
  • Social security and welfare
  • Defense
  • Infrastructure maintenance
  • Public administration

Five-Year Prepayment

Allocating $5.29 trillion (approximately 28% of national wealth) would:

  • Pre-fund all government operations for five years
  • Eliminate annual budget stress and political gamesmanship
  • Allow long-term planning without annual appropriation fights
  • Provide stability for public servants and service recipients
  • Create space for fundamental reform without crisis pressure

Part 3: Citizen Distribution

Remaining Wealth

After debt elimination and government prepayment, approximately $12.92 trillion remains — about 68% of national wealth.

Distribution Model

For Adults (20 and over)

Each adult receives $416,000 allocated as follows:

Allocation Type Amount Form Purpose
Income-producing assets $104,000 (25%) Business shares, cooperative ownership, dividend-paying investments Ongoing income stream from economic activity
Housing security $104,000 (25%) Housing fund account Down payment, rent security, or mortgage reduction
Universal basic income $208,000 (50%) Weekly payments of $800 for 5 years Immediate economic security

For Youth (Under 20)

Each young person receives $416,000 allocated differently:

Allocation Type Amount Form Purpose
Family-controlled assets $104,000 (25%) Business and housing assets managed by family Family economic security
Weekly payments $400/week Direct payments (half adult rate) Ongoing support
Trust allocation $208,000 (50%) Trust account for future access Housing, education, or business investment upon adulthood

Projected Impacts

1. Zero National Debt

All outstanding public financial obligations cleared. This:

  • Eliminates interest payments (~$20 billion/year)
  • Removes debt-based austerity arguments
  • Strengthens national credit rating
  • Frees resources for productive investment

2. Five-Year Government Security

Public services operate without annual budget stress:

  • No government shutdowns or funding crises
  • Long-term infrastructure planning becomes possible
  • Public sector workforce stability
  • Reduced political gamesmanship around appropriations

3. Universal Economic Floor

Every adult receives guaranteed:

  • Income stream from ownership assets
  • Housing security through housing fund
  • Basic income of $800/week for five years

This transforms the relationship between citizens and the economy from dependency to ownership.

4. Work by Choice

With basic needs secured, employment becomes:

  • A choice centered on passion rather than survival
  • An opportunity for contribution rather than desperation
  • A means of additional income rather than sole lifeline

Labor market dynamics shift when workers can refuse exploitative conditions.

5. Reduced Crime

Economic stress is the primary driver of property crime and a significant contributor to violent crime. By addressing root economic causes:

  • Property crime loses its motivation
  • Drug trade loses desperate participants
  • Domestic violence (often linked to financial stress) decreases
  • Youth recruitment into criminal enterprises becomes less attractive

See Crime Prevention Research and Justice as Prevention for the evidence base.

The Math

Wealth Sources

Australia's $19 trillion in national wealth comes from:

Asset Class Approximate Value Share
Residential real estate $10.0 trillion 53%
Superannuation assets $3.5 trillion 18%
Commercial property $1.5 trillion 8%
Business equity (non-listed) $1.2 trillion 6%
Listed equities $1.0 trillion 5%
Cash and deposits $1.0 trillion 5%
Other assets $0.8 trillion 4%
Total $19.0 trillion 100%

Population Figures

  • Total Australian population: ~26 million
  • Adults (20+): ~20 million
  • Youth (under 20): ~6 million

Distribution Calculation

Item Calculation Amount
Debt clearance Federal + State debt $0.787 trillion
5-year government $1.058T × 5 years $5.290 trillion
Remaining for citizens $19T - $0.787T - $5.29T $12.923 trillion
Per-person allocation $12.923T ÷ 26M ~$497,000 average
Adjusted per adult/youth Differential allocation $416,000 each

Implementation Challenges

Asset Liquidity

Not all wealth is liquid. Real estate, business equity, and superannuation cannot be instantly converted to cash without market disruption.

Potential approaches:

  • Phased implementation over 10-20 years
  • Equity shares rather than cash distribution
  • Hybrid instruments combining income streams with ownership stakes
  • Asset-backed securities representing citizen claims

Inflation Risk

Rapid wealth redistribution could trigger inflation if:

  • More money chases the same goods
  • Supply chains cannot scale to meet demand
  • Currency confidence weakens

Mitigations:

  • Phased distribution to allow supply adjustment
  • Investment in productive capacity alongside distribution
  • Monitoring and adjustment mechanisms
  • Focus on assets and income streams rather than lump sums

Political Resistance

Concentrated wealth implies concentrated political power opposing redistribution.

Considerations:

  • Proposal demonstrates mathematical possibility, shifting debate
  • International examples of successful redistribution (Nordic social democracies, post-WWII reforms)
  • Crisis conditions may create political windows
  • Generational change in wealth concentration may shift political coalitions

Transition Effects

Major economic restructuring creates transitional disruption:

  • Real estate prices would likely adjust
  • Labor market dynamics would shift
  • Business models dependent on economic desperation would fail
  • New economic patterns would emerge

These are features, not bugs — but transition requires careful management.

Philosophical Foundation

Ownership vs. Dependency

The $19 Trillion Solution transforms citizens from:

  • Dependents — relying on wages, welfare, or charity
  • To Owners — holding stakes in the economic system

This aligns with the Two Monkey Theory insight: people tolerate unfair systems partly because they lack alternative coordination mechanisms. Universal ownership creates stakes in fair operation.

Prevention vs. Punishment

Rather than addressing symptoms (crime, homelessness, domestic violence) through punishment, the proposal addresses root causes through security. See Prevention Over Punishment.

The Scarcity Illusion

The proposal directly challenges scarcity narratives:

  • "We can't afford..." becomes clearly false when $19 trillion exists
  • Distribution choices are revealed as political, not mathematical
  • Abundance is shown to be achievable with existing resources

International Comparisons

Existing Wealth Distribution Programs

Country/Program Mechanism Scale Outcomes
Alaska Permanent Fund Oil revenue dividends to all residents ~$1,600/year/person Reduced poverty, maintained popularity across political spectrum
Norway Sovereign Wealth Fund National investment fund from oil revenue $1.4 trillion (largest in world) Intergenerational wealth preservation, universal benefit
Singapore CPF Mandatory savings with government contribution Universal participation High home ownership, retirement security
Baby bonds (US proposals) Trust accounts for children at birth $1,000-$50,000 depending on family income Projected wealth gap reduction

Post-Crisis Redistributions

Major wealth redistributions have occurred after crises:

  • Post-WWII Europe: Massive expansion of social democracy, nationalization, and redistribution
  • South Korea land reform (1950s): Redistribution of agricultural land transformed rural poverty
  • Taiwan land reform: Similar pattern with dramatic development outcomes

Connection to OMXUS

The $19 Trillion Solution provides the economic foundation for OMXUS participation:

OMXUS Component Economic Foundation
Direct Democracy Citizens with economic security can participate in governance
Web of Trust Economic security enables long-term relationship investment
Emergency Response Communities with resources can respond to crises
Grief to Design Prevention funding replaces punishment spending

Economic security is not sufficient for human flourishing, but it is necessary. The $19 Trillion Solution provides the floor from which OMXUS social infrastructure can grow.

See Also

References

  • Australian Bureau of Statistics. Household Income and Wealth, Australia. Various years.
  • Reserve Bank of Australia. Household and Business Balance Sheets.
  • Australian Government Budget Papers. Various years.
  • Piketty, T. (2014). Capital in the Twenty-First Century. Harvard University Press.
  • Wilkinson, R. G., & Pickett, K. (2009). The Spirit Level: Why More Equal Societies Almost Always Do Better. Allen Lane.